Kentucky Derby 2018 Weather Forecast & Track Conditions at Churchill Downs

On Saturday, May 5, ahead of the 144th Kentucky Derby, heavy rain began falling in Louisville, making the track at Churchill Downs quite muddy.

As most horse-racing aficionados know, a muddy track can have an effect on some horses’ abilities to run. Some horses seem to excel in the rain, taking on the heavy dirt with ease, while others have a more challenging time maneuvering through the thick earth.

The weather in Louisville seems to have calmed a bit this afternoon, but light rain continues to fall in the area. There is significant cloud cover and it doesn’t look like the rain is going to stop before the Run for the Roses.

According to the Weather Channel, there is a 40 percent chance of rain at 6 p.m., but that drops to 15 percent at 7 p.m. The race begins at 6:50 p.m. Even if the rain has stopped by then, the dirt track will still be muddy after being saturated with rain most of the day.

You can see a Doppler Radar over Kentucky in the video below.

The following photo shows the track at Churchill downs.

Since some horses tend to race better in the mud, the odds have shifted quite a bit today. Now, My Boy Jack is a frontrunner (he was previously 30:1), alongside Audible and Justify. Former favorite Magnum Moon has been pushed to 13:1.

However, in 2017, a muddy track didn’t affect Derby favorite Always Dreaming, who came in first — albeit a bit slower than expected at 2:03.59 — despite a muddy track.

Source: Heavy Sports